BreakoutsPro

Matas Buzelis, third season, and why the jump is in the shot volume

Chicago's forward does not need to shoot better to rise. He needs two more shots a night, and our projection gives him them.

By · 1 min read

The players who break out in their third season tend to do it the same way. Their efficiency settles, the team gives them more of the ball, and the counting stats follow the attempts, which is almost exactly the shape Matas Buzelis fits.

Ranks from our projections board and the analysts' consensus, updated nightly.

He took 12.5 shots a night last season and made 2.2 threes. Our projection has him at 14.4 shots, 2.6 threes and 18.9 points over 73 games, with the 1.5 blocks that already made him rare among forwards who shoot from deep.

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All stories in the NewsroomOctober 8, 2026

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