Victor Wembanyama went 1-of-13 on opening night, and our projection barely moved

Victor Wembanyama made one of his 13 shots in San Antonio's 116-104 loss to Oklahoma City on Tuesday, missed all four of his threes and finished with 12 points, 13 rebounds, three assists, a steal, six blocks and four turnovers in 34 minutes. ESPN, Yahoo Sports and NBC all reported the shooting line, and the coverage of the game credited Chet Holmgren's defense on him. Under ESPN's default points scoring that line was worth 38 fantasy points, against the 61.5 our projections expected of him going into the night.

On Wednesday morning, after our projections read the box score, his projection was 60.9 fantasy points a game and he was still second on our points board and second on our nine-category board. That small move is deliberate, and the reasons are worth understanding before your league's trade window fills with offers for him.

Every player in this story is on the fantasy basketball rankings and the 2026-27 projections, and the NBA depth charts show where each one stands in his team’s rotation tonight.